Will peak car happen before peak oil ?

According to Fast Company : ” Many major cities have seen a decline in driving over the past few years. The reasons for this are varied, but if it’s a continuing trend, it’s going to mean drastic changes for the way we shape our cities. “

” (…) There’s just one caveat: The study only looked at car usage patterns in Europe, North America, and Australia. In rapidly developing countries like India and China, car use is likely to grow for the foreseeable future. “

So perhaps peak car will occur in peak oil in Western countries. But it is most unlikely that on a global level it will be the case… Indeed, there might be billions of cars on the roads in 2050, when there are 600 million today.

By Edouard

Edouard is a sustainability and energy professional committed to bringing our societies to a carbon neutral future. He has been writing on related topics on this very blog since 2007.

2 comments

  1. nightmare scenario…a billion cars in all directions… garages, roads, car cleaners, car accessories, car parts, car pets, car pools, car-e-lessness…
    what if the grid cannot support the new hybrids? there is only one solution—mass transport…and genetic sterility.

  2. I think we gotta to relearn sobriety. I am all in for electric cars but I am a huge supporter of mass transport. Cf my post : http://www.edouardstenger.com/2011/05/18/why-%e2%80%93-good-%e2%80%93-public-transportation-matters/

    Genetic sterility ? Nadine, aren’t you going a bit far ? I personally better access to family planning is key. Enabling women all around the world to have children when they want is the solution… A genophage ain’t none (except in a dictatorship…)

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